GDP per capita forecast · World Bank data
United States GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Latest · 2025
$90,027
GDP per capita in the United States is forecast at $94,309 in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of $89,410 to $101,396. The latest World Bank figure is $90,027 for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects $96,334 and $98,538 (+9.5% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- $92,168▲ +2.4%80%: $89,718 – $95,711
- 12 months2026
- $94,309▲ +4.8%80%: $89,410 – $101,396
- 24 months2027
- $96,334▲ +7.0%80%: $89,600 – $106,350
- 36 months2028
- $98,538▲ +9.5%80%: $89,257 – $110,376
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $2,323 | $5,112 | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | $5,110 | $10,072 | 75% |
| 36 months | 3 | $8,808 | $14,956 | 67% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $90,027 | +4.48% |
| 2024 | $86,170 | +4.34% |
| 2023 | $82,587 | +5.87% |
| 2022 | $78,009 | +9.19% |
| 2021 | $71,441 | +10.82% |
| 2020 | $64,465 | −1.17% |
| 2019 | $65,228 | +3.74% |
| 2018 | $62,876 | +4.71% |
| 2017 | $60,048 | +3.57% |
| 2016 | $57,977 | +1.98% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.PCAP.CD
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
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All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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