Population forecast · World Bank data

United States population forecast

Population, total

Latest · 2025

341.8M

The population of the United States is forecast at 345.1M in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 341.6M to 349.2M. The latest World Bank figure is 341.8M for 2025.

In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 346.6M and 347.0M (+1.5% versus 2025).

320M330M340M350M201520202025HistoryForecast
320M330M340M350M2020HistoryForecast

Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.

6 monthsinterpolated · display only
343.4M▲ +0.5%80%: 341.7M – 345.5M
12 months2026
345.1M▲ +1.0%80%: 341.6M – 349.2M
24 months2027
346.6M▲ +1.4%80%: 341.8M – 351.1M
36 months2028
347.0M▲ +1.5%80%: 339.6M – 352.2M

Backtest · last 5 years

How accurate has this been?

HorizonTestsAvg. errorNaive errorIn 80% range
12 months51.40M2.04M80%
24 months41.94M4.53M100%
36 months32.70M6.96M100%

We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology

Source data

Recent values

YearValueChange
2025341.8M+0.52%
2024340.0M+0.96%
2023336.8M+0.83%
2022334.0M+0.57%
2021332.1M+0.16%
2020331.6M+0.41%
2019330.2M+0.52%
2018328.5M+0.59%
2017326.6M+0.70%
2016324.4M+0.79%

About this forecast

Source
World Bank, World Development Indicators · series SP.POP.TOTL
Data through
2025 · 66 observations
Forecast updated
Sep 28, 2026
Model
TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot

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Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.

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