Population · Switzerland

Switzerland population forecast

Population, total

annualUnit: PeopleData through 2025

Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5

12 months forecast · 2026

9.21M

Median forecast · p10-p90: 9.12M to 9.28M

Latest observed: 9.09M · 2025

Choose a horizon

The median and range update together.

History & forecast

White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.

8.0M8.5M9.0M9.5M201520202025HistoryForecast
8.0M8.5M9.0M9.5M2020HistoryForecast

Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.

All values in People

Model validation

HorizonTestsModel errorModelNo-change errorNo changeBand coverageCoverage
12 months50.02M0.09M100.0%
24 months40.05M0.19M75.0%
36 months30.06M0.29M100.0%

In these tests the model had lower average error than a no-change forecast at all 3 horizons. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit

Evidence & context

Source data

Source & observed data

YearValueChange
20259.09M+0.96%
20249.01M+1.31%
20238.89M+1.27%
20228.78M+0.83%
20218.70M+0.77%
20208.64M+0.73%
20198.58M+0.72%
20188.51M+0.74%
20178.45M+0.94%
20168.37M+1.10%

Sources & limits

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · SP.POP.TOTL. Methodology · Forecast audit

Historical context

Outside the model

What could change this forecast?

The watchlist

A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.

No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.

Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.

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Switzerland overview

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