Industries · 7 forecasts · Updated Oct 14, 2026

Finance & Real Estate

Rates, equity indices and US inflation for the broader financial picture. Open any series for the full chart, backtest and source.

The US 10-year TIPS real yield is a market yield, not the World Bank lending rate adjusted by the GDP deflator. That separate World Bank series remains excluded because its data ends in 2021.

Fed funds rate

% per year, monthly average

Latest · Sep 1, 20263.75%

3%4%5%2025Jul2026Jul2027JulHistoryForecast
3%4%5%202520262027HistoryForecast

Observed history · Median and 80% forecast range

12m median3.70%▼ −0.05 pp

80% range: 2.48% – 4.86%

US 2-year Treasury yield

% per year

Latest · Sep 25, 20264.81%

4%5%6%2026Jul2027JulHistoryForecast
4%5%6%20262027HistoryForecast

Observed history · Median and 80% forecast range

12m median4.74%▼ −0.07 pp

80% range: 3.50% – 6.10%

US 10-year Treasury yield

% per year

Latest · Sep 25, 20265.17%

4%5%6%2026Jul2027JulHistoryForecast
4%5%6%20262027HistoryForecast

Observed history · Median and 80% forecast range

12m median5.05%▼ −0.12 pp

80% range: 3.92% – 6.36%

US 10-year TIPS real yield

% per year

Latest · Sep 28, 20262.90%

2%3%4%5%2026Jul2027JulHistoryForecast
2%3%4%5%20262027HistoryForecast

Observed history · Median and 80% forecast range

12m median3.22%▲ +0.32 pp

80% range: 1.64% – 4.98%

S&P 500

Index points

Latest · Sep 28, 20267,684

7,0008,0009,0002026Jul2027JulHistoryForecast
7,0008,0009,00020262027HistoryForecast

Observed history · Median and 80% forecast range

12m median8,265▲ +7.6%

80% range: 7,275 – 9,107

Nasdaq Composite

Index points

Latest · Sep 28, 202626,820

20,00025,00030,0002026Jul2027JulHistoryForecast
20,00025,00030,00020262027HistoryForecast

Observed history · Median and 80% forecast range

12m median28,117▲ +4.8%

80% range: 22,365 – 33,160

United States inflation

12-month change, monthly

Latest · Sep 1, 20263.7%

1%2%3%4%5%6%2025Jul2026Jul2027JulHistoryForecast
1%2%3%4%5%6%202520262027HistoryForecast

Observed history · Median and 80% forecast range

12m median3.4%▼ −0.3 pp

80% range: 1.2% – 5.9%

These forecasts are independent, univariate statistical baselines. A currency forecast does not use copper prices or interest rates as input. Ranges show model uncertainty, not a recommendation. How this works →