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Ranking · Real GDP growth, annual %

GDP growth forecasts by country

GDP growth forecasts for 40 countries for 2026, 2027, 2028, ranked by the model's median, with 80% ranges. Built on World Bank annual data.

Highest in 2026: Ireland at 6.8%. Lowest: Finland at 0.6%.

40 of 40 series shown

#CountryLatest2026 forecast2027 forecast2028 forecastChange80% rangeChart
IrelandIrelandIreland12.3%202512.3%202512.3%20256.8%2026 forecast6.1%2027 forecast5.7%2028 forecast▼ −5.6 pp▼ −6.2 pp▼ −6.6 pp1.3% – 12.6%0.4% – 12.4%−0.1% – 12.2%
IndiaIndiaIndia7.6%20257.6%20257.6%20256.7%2026 forecast6.6%2027 forecast6.5%2028 forecast▼ −0.9 pp▼ −1.0 pp▼ −1.0 pp3.4% – 9.2%3.1% – 9.1%2.9% – 9.0%
ChinaChinaChina5.0%20255.0%20255.0%20255.4%2026 forecast5.9%2027 forecast6.1%2028 forecast▲ +0.4 pp▲ +0.9 pp▲ +1.1 pp2.4% – 8.3%2.4% – 9.4%2.2% – 10.1%
TurkeyTurkeyTurkey3.6%20253.6%20253.6%20255.3%2026 forecast5.0%2027 forecast4.4%2028 forecast▲ +1.7 pp▲ +1.4 pp▲ +0.8 pp0.3% – 10.0%−0.2% – 9.7%−0.8% – 9.3%
IndonesiaIndonesiaIndonesia5.1%20255.1%20255.1%20255.0%2026 forecast5.0%2027 forecast5.1%2028 forecast▼ −0.1 pp▼ −0.1 pp■ 0.0 pp3.4% – 6.1%3.2% – 6.1%3.1% – 6.4%
SingaporeSingaporeSingapore5.0%20255.0%20255.0%20255.0%2026 forecast4.9%2027 forecast5.2%2028 forecast▼ −0.1 pp▼ −0.1 pp▲ +0.2 pp−0.8% – 9.6%−1.4% – 9.8%−1.4% – 10.2%
PolandPolandPoland3.6%20253.6%20253.6%20253.6%2026 forecast3.8%2027 forecast4.1%2028 forecast■ 0.0 pp▲ +0.2 pp▲ +0.5 pp−0.1% – 6.3%−0.1% – 6.5%0.1% – 6.9%
PeruPeruPeru3.4%20253.4%20253.4%20253.5%2026 forecast3.5%2027 forecast3.8%2028 forecast■ 0.0 pp▲ +0.1 pp▲ +0.4 pp−2.2% – 8.4%−2.5% – 8.5%−2.4% – 8.9%
Saudi ArabiaSaudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia4.5%20254.5%20254.5%20253.3%2026 forecast2.6%2027 forecast3.6%2028 forecast▼ −1.2 pp▼ −1.9 pp▼ −0.9 pp−2.2% – 9.5%−3.2% – 9.2%−2.4% – 10.6%
ColombiaColombiaColombia2.6%20252.6%20252.6%20253.0%2026 forecast3.3%2027 forecast3.5%2028 forecast▲ +0.4 pp▲ +0.6 pp▲ +0.9 pp0.0% – 5.8%0.0% – 6.2%0.1% – 6.6%
SpainSpainSpain2.8%20252.8%20252.8%20252.9%2026 forecast3.0%2027 forecast3.1%2028 forecast▲ +0.1 pp▲ +0.1 pp▲ +0.2 pp0.1% – 5.4%−0.3% – 5.8%−0.5% – 6.2%
ThailandThailandThailand2.4%20252.4%20252.4%20252.9%2026 forecast3.0%2027 forecast3.1%2028 forecast▲ +0.4 pp▲ +0.6 pp▲ +0.6 pp−0.8% – 6.0%−1.0% – 6.4%−1.2% – 6.6%
ChileChileChile2.5%20252.5%20252.5%20252.9%2026 forecast3.1%2027 forecast3.3%2028 forecast▲ +0.4 pp▲ +0.7 pp▲ +0.9 pp−2.2% – 7.4%−2.3% – 7.8%−2.3% – 8.2%
CzechiaCzechiaCzechia2.6%20252.6%20252.6%20252.7%2026 forecast2.7%2027 forecast3.0%2028 forecast▲ +0.2 pp▲ +0.1 pp▲ +0.4 pp−1.6% – 5.8%−1.9% – 5.8%−1.8% – 6.1%
RussiaRussiaRussia1.0%20251.0%20251.0%20252.7%2026 forecast2.7%2027 forecast2.9%2028 forecast▲ +1.7 pp▲ +1.7 pp▲ +1.9 pp−3.4% – 7.4%−4.2% – 7.7%−4.6% – 8.2%
United StatesUnited StatesUnited States2.2%20252.2%20252.2%20252.6%2026 forecast2.6%2027 forecast2.7%2028 forecast▲ +0.4 pp▲ +0.5 pp▲ +0.6 pp0.2% – 4.5%0.1% – 4.6%0.1% – 4.8%
BrazilBrazilBrazil2.3%20252.3%20252.3%20252.5%2026 forecast2.6%2027 forecast2.7%2028 forecast▲ +0.3 pp▲ +0.4 pp▲ +0.4 pp−1.9% – 6.5%−2.1% – 6.8%−2.2% – 7.1%
AustraliaAustraliaAustralia1.4%20251.4%20251.4%20252.5%2026 forecast2.6%2027 forecast2.6%2028 forecast▲ +1.1 pp▲ +1.2 pp▲ +1.2 pp0.5% – 4.3%0.5% – 4.5%0.4% – 4.5%
UruguayUruguayUruguay1.8%20251.8%20251.8%20252.4%2026 forecast3.1%2027 forecast3.3%2028 forecast▲ +0.6 pp▲ +1.3 pp▲ +1.5 pp−2.5% – 6.5%−2.3% – 7.4%−2.4% – 7.8%
CanadaCanadaCanada1.7%20251.7%20251.7%20252.4%2026 forecast2.4%2027 forecast2.4%2028 forecast▲ +0.7 pp▲ +0.6 pp▲ +0.6 pp−0.5% – 4.8%−0.7% – 4.8%−0.7% – 4.9%
GreeceGreeceGreece2.1%20252.1%20252.1%20252.3%2026 forecast2.5%2027 forecast2.6%2028 forecast▲ +0.2 pp▲ +0.4 pp▲ +0.5 pp−2.7% – 6.6%−3.0% – 7.1%−3.2% – 7.4%
PortugalPortugalPortugal1.9%20251.9%20251.9%20252.3%2026 forecast2.3%2027 forecast2.3%2028 forecast▲ +0.4 pp▲ +0.4 pp▲ +0.4 pp−1.3% – 5.3%−1.7% – 5.6%−1.9% – 5.8%
ArgentinaArgentinaArgentina4.4%20254.4%20254.4%20252.2%2026 forecast2.3%2027 forecast2.5%2028 forecast▼ −2.1 pp▼ −2.1 pp▼ −1.9 pp−5.0% – 9.2%−5.2% – 9.3%−5.1% – 9.6%
MexicoMexicoMexico0.6%20250.6%20250.6%20252.2%2026 forecast2.3%2027 forecast2.3%2028 forecast▲ +1.6 pp▲ +1.8 pp▲ +1.7 pp−2.1% – 5.9%−2.2% – 6.0%−2.3% – 6.0%
South KoreaSouth KoreaSouth Korea1.0%20251.0%20251.0%20252.1%2026 forecast2.3%2027 forecast2.2%2028 forecast▲ +1.1 pp▲ +1.3 pp▲ +1.2 pp−1.5% – 5.4%−1.7% – 5.7%−2.0% – 6.0%
DenmarkDenmarkDenmark2.9%20252.9%20252.9%20252.1%2026 forecast2.0%2027 forecast2.0%2028 forecast▼ −0.9 pp▼ −0.9 pp▼ −0.9 pp−0.7% – 4.7%−0.9% – 4.7%−0.9% – 4.7%
NetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlands1.8%20251.8%20251.8%20251.9%2026 forecast2.0%2027 forecast2.1%2028 forecast▲ +0.1 pp▲ +0.2 pp▲ +0.3 pp−0.9% – 4.3%−1.0% – 4.5%−1.1% – 4.7%
BelgiumBelgiumBelgium1.0%20251.0%20251.0%20251.9%2026 forecast1.9%2027 forecast1.9%2028 forecast▲ +0.9 pp▲ +0.9 pp▲ +0.9 pp−0.4% – 4.0%−0.6% – 4.0%−0.6% – 4.1%
United KingdomUnited KingdomUnited Kingdom1.4%20251.4%20251.4%20251.8%2026 forecast1.9%2027 forecast2.0%2028 forecast▲ +0.4 pp▲ +0.5 pp▲ +0.6 pp−1.0% – 4.2%−1.0% – 4.4%−1.0% – 4.6%
New ZealandNew ZealandNew Zealand0.5%20250.5%20250.5%20251.8%2026 forecast1.9%2027 forecast2.0%2028 forecast▲ +1.3 pp▲ +1.4 pp▲ +1.5 pp−1.3% – 4.4%−1.4% – 4.7%−1.4% – 4.9%
NorwayNorwayNorway1.1%20251.1%20251.1%20251.7%2026 forecast1.9%2027 forecast1.9%2028 forecast▲ +0.7 pp▲ +0.8 pp▲ +0.8 pp−0.5% – 3.9%−0.6% – 4.1%−0.6% – 4.2%
SwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerland1.3%20251.3%20251.3%20251.7%2026 forecast1.9%2027 forecast1.8%2028 forecast▲ +0.4 pp▲ +0.6 pp▲ +0.5 pp−0.8% – 4.1%−0.7% – 4.3%−0.8% – 4.3%
SwedenSwedenSweden1.5%20251.5%20251.5%20251.7%2026 forecast1.8%2027 forecast1.8%2028 forecast▲ +0.2 pp▲ +0.2 pp▲ +0.2 pp−1.2% – 4.2%−1.3% – 4.3%−1.4% – 4.4%
FranceFranceFrance0.8%20250.8%20250.8%20251.3%2026 forecast1.3%2027 forecast1.3%2028 forecast▲ +0.5 pp▲ +0.5 pp▲ +0.4 pp−0.8% – 3.3%−1.0% – 3.4%−1.1% – 3.5%
AustriaAustriaAustria0.6%20250.6%20250.6%20251.3%2026 forecast1.5%2027 forecast1.7%2028 forecast▲ +0.7 pp▲ +0.9 pp▲ +1.1 pp−1.4% – 3.6%−1.4% – 4.0%−1.4% – 4.2%
South AfricaSouth AfricaSouth Africa1.1%20251.1%20251.1%20251.3%2026 forecast1.4%2027 forecast1.5%2028 forecast▲ +0.2 pp▲ +0.2 pp▲ +0.4 pp−1.9% – 4.0%−2.1% – 4.2%−2.1% – 4.4%
GermanyGermanyGermany0.2%20250.2%20250.2%20251.0%2026 forecast1.1%2027 forecast1.2%2028 forecast▲ +0.7 pp▲ +0.8 pp▲ +0.9 pp−1.9% – 3.5%−2.0% – 3.7%−2.0% – 3.9%
JapanJapanJapan1.2%20251.2%20251.2%20250.9%2026 forecast0.9%2027 forecast1.0%2028 forecast▼ −0.3 pp▼ −0.3 pp▼ −0.2 pp−1.6% – 3.0%−1.7% – 3.2%−1.7% – 3.3%
ItalyItalyItaly0.5%20250.5%20250.5%20250.6%2026 forecast0.6%2027 forecast0.6%2028 forecast▲ +0.1 pp■ 0.0 pp▲ +0.1 pp−2.1% – 3.3%−2.5% – 3.5%−2.6% – 3.8%
FinlandFinlandFinland0.2%20250.2%20250.2%20250.6%2026 forecast0.7%2027 forecast0.9%2028 forecast▲ +0.4 pp▲ +0.6 pp▲ +0.7 pp−2.8% – 3.6%−3.0% – 3.9%−3.1% – 4.2%

Change is measured from each country's latest published year.

Statistical model, not financial advice. Medians and 80% ranges from TimesFM 2.5 on public data. Outcomes land outside the range about one time in five. How we test it.

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