GDP growth forecast · World Bank data
Saudi Arabia GDP growth forecast
GDP growth (annual %)
Latest · 2025
4.5%
GDP growth in Saudi Arabia is forecast at 3.3% in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of −2.2% to 9.5%. The latest World Bank figure is 4.5% for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 2.6% and 3.6% (−0.9 pp versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 3.9%▼ −0.6 pp80%: 1.2% – 7.0%
- 12 months2026
- 3.3%▼ −1.2 pp80%: −2.2% – 9.5%
- 24 months2027
- 2.6%▼ −1.9 pp80%: −3.2% – 9.2%
- 36 months2028
- 3.6%▼ −0.9 pp80%: −2.4% – 10.6%
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 4.40 pp | 6.24 pp | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | 4.59 pp | 8.77 pp | 75% |
| 36 months | 3 | 1.44 pp | 5.24 pp | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened (percentage points); naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.5% | +1.85 pp |
| 2024 | 2.6% | +2.11 pp |
| 2023 | 0.5% | −11.46 pp |
| 2022 | 12.0% | +5.48 pp |
| 2021 | 6.5% | +10.32 pp |
| 2020 | −3.8% | −5.46 pp |
| 2019 | 1.7% | −1.58 pp |
| 2018 | 3.2% | +2.04 pp |
| 2017 | 1.2% | −0.52 pp |
| 2016 | 1.7% | −2.95 pp |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
- Data through
- 2025 · 65 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia overviewOther GDP growth forecasts
All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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