GDP per capita · Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$34,185
Median forecast · p10-p90: $27,459 to $44,802
24 months forecast · 2027
$33,865
Median forecast · p10-p90: $25,083 to $47,352
36 months forecast · 2028
$33,709
Median forecast · p10-p90: $23,548 to $49,381
Latest observed: $34,537 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $3,940 | $3,629 | 80.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $6,216 | $5,753 | 75.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $7,409 | $6,466 | 66.7% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $34,537 | −2.79% |
| 2024 | $35,528 | −1.74% |
| 2023 | $36,157 | −6.11% |
| 2022 | $38,510 | +20.64% |
| 2021 | $31,921 | +31.15% |
| 2020 | $24,339 | −17.68% |
| 2019 | $29,567 | +0.70% |
| 2018 | $29,360 | +22.70% |
| 2017 | $23,929 | +7.46% |
| 2016 | $22,268 | −4.25% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.