GDP per capita · Canada
Canada GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$56,689
Median forecast · p10-p90: $50,192 to $65,453
24 months forecast · 2027
$56,851
Median forecast · p10-p90: $47,854 to $68,166
36 months forecast · 2028
$57,138
Median forecast · p10-p90: $46,566 to $70,469
Latest observed: $55,698 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $3,082 | $3,092 | 80.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $4,507 | $4,313 | 75.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $5,384 | $4,746 | 66.7% |
In these tests the model beat a no-change forecast at 1 of 3 horizons; no change was better or equal at the rest. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $55,698 | +1.24% |
| 2024 | $55,016 | +0.31% |
| 2023 | $54,848 | −2.92% |
| 2022 | $56,497 | +6.83% |
| 2021 | $52,887 | +21.47% |
| 2020 | $43,538 | −6.07% |
| 2019 | $46,353 | −0.40% |
| 2018 | $46,539 | +3.12% |
| 2017 | $45,130 | +6.65% |
| 2016 | $42,314 | −2.94% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.