GDP per capita · Germany
Germany GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$61,752
Median forecast · p10-p90: $53,861 to $70,973
24 months forecast · 2027
$61,920
Median forecast · p10-p90: $51,488 to $73,400
36 months forecast · 2028
$61,551
Median forecast · p10-p90: $49,416 to $74,974
Latest observed: $60,496 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $2,969 | $3,357 | 100.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $4,003 | $4,214 | 100.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $6,394 | $7,042 | 100.0% |
In these tests the model had lower average error than a no-change forecast at all 3 horizons. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $60,496 | +7.83% |
| 2024 | $56,104 | +2.42% |
| 2023 | $54,777 | +8.45% |
| 2022 | $50,507 | −3.52% |
| 2021 | $52,349 | +10.45% |
| 2020 | $47,395 | −0.55% |
| 2019 | $47,656 | −2.58% |
| 2018 | $48,916 | +7.38% |
| 2017 | $45,554 | +6.07% |
| 2016 | $42,949 | +2.43% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.