GDP per capita · Chile
Chile GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$17,669
Median forecast · p10-p90: $15,458 to $20,357
24 months forecast · 2027
$17,821
Median forecast · p10-p90: $14,723 to $21,475
36 months forecast · 2028
$17,879
Median forecast · p10-p90: $14,017 to $22,333
Latest observed: $17,995 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $1,567 | $1,471 | 80.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $1,710 | $1,330 | 100.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $2,924 | $2,334 | 66.7% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $17,995 | +8.02% |
| 2024 | $16,659 | −2.47% |
| 2023 | $17,082 | +10.93% |
| 2022 | $15,399 | −5.04% |
| 2021 | $16,216 | +23.62% |
| 2020 | $13,118 | −9.51% |
| 2019 | $14,497 | −7.42% |
| 2018 | $15,659 | +5.24% |
| 2017 | $14,880 | +9.01% |
| 2016 | $13,650 | +1.61% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.