Interest rates · 4 series
Interest rate forecasts
Forecasts for 4 US interest rates, 3, 6 and 12 months ahead, each with a median and an 80% range. Updated Oct 8, 2026 from Federal Reserve and FRED data.
Highest projected 12-month change: US 10-year TIPS real yield (+0.32 pp). Lowest projected 12-month change: US 10-year Treasury yield (−0.12 pp). Filter by region, direction and size of the move below.
4 of 4 series shown
| Series | Latest | In 3 moIn 6 moIn 12 mo | Change | 80% range | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed funds rateFed funds rateFed funds rate% per year, monthly average | 3.75%Sep 20263.75%Sep 20263.75%Sep 2026 | 3.93%3-month forecast3.90%6-month forecast3.70%12-month forecast | ▲ +0.18 pp▲ +0.15 pp▼ −0.05 pp | 3.49% – 4.33%3.17% – 4.57%2.48% – 4.86% | |
| US 10-year TIPS real yieldUS 10-year TIPS real yieldUS 10-year TIPS real yield% per year | 2.90%Sep 28, 20262.90%Sep 28, 20262.90%Sep 28, 2026 | 3.00%3-month forecast3.12%6-month forecast3.22%12-month forecast | ▲ +0.10 pp▲ +0.22 pp▲ +0.32 pp | 2.42% – 3.75%2.22% – 4.32%1.64% – 4.98% | |
| US 10-year Treasury yieldUS 10-year Treasury yieldUS 10-year Treasury yield% per year | 5.17%Sep 25, 20265.17%Sep 25, 20265.17%Sep 25, 2026 | 5.14%3-month forecast5.09%6-month forecast5.05%12-month forecast | ▼ −0.03 pp▼ −0.08 pp▼ −0.12 pp | 4.60% – 5.75%4.37% – 6.01%3.92% – 6.36% | |
| US 2-year Treasury yieldUS 2-year Treasury yieldUS 2-year Treasury yield% per year | 4.81%Sep 25, 20264.81%Sep 25, 20264.81%Sep 25, 2026 | 4.80%3-month forecast4.78%6-month forecast4.74%12-month forecast | ▼ −0.01 pp▼ −0.03 pp▼ −0.07 pp | 4.04% – 5.45%3.80% – 5.68%3.50% – 6.10% |
Nothing matches these filters.
Change is measured from the latest value.
Statistical model, not financial advice. Medians and 80% ranges from TimesFM 2.5 on public data. Outcomes land outside the range about one time in five. How we test it.
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