GDP per capita · Australia

Australia GDP per capita forecast

GDP per capita (current US$)

annualUnit: Current US$Data through 2025

Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5

12 months forecast · 2026

$65,239

Median forecast · p10-p90: $57,013 to $75,174

Latest observed: $65,130 · 2025

Choose a horizon

The median and range update together.

History & forecast

White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.

$50,000$60,000$70,000$80,000201520202025HistoryForecast
$50,000$60,000$70,000$80,0002020HistoryForecast

Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.

All values in Current US$

Model validation

HorizonTestsModel errorModelNo-change errorNo changeBand coverageCoverage
12 months5$3,079$2,85380.0%
24 months4$4,658$4,52975.0%
36 months3$5,806$5,65566.7%

A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit

Evidence & context

Source data

Source & observed data

YearValueChange
2025$65,130+0.80%
2024$64,610−0.69%
2023$65,058−0.17%
2022$65,170+7.26%
2021$60,759+16.88%
2020$51,983−5.82%
2019$55,195−3.86%
2018$57,410+6.08%
2017$54,118+8.05%
2016$50,084−12.09%

Sources & limits

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit

Historical context

Outside the model

What could change this forecast?

The watchlist

A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.

No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.

Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.

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