Currencies · Australia
AUD/USD forecast
Australian dollar to US dollar exchange rate: USD per 1 AUD
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
3 months forecast · Dec 2026
0.7017
Median forecast · p10-p90: 0.6711 to 0.7273
6 months forecast · Mar 2027
0.7104
Median forecast · p10-p90: 0.6709 to 0.7408
12 months forecast · Sep 2027
0.7212
Median forecast · p10-p90: 0.6733 to 0.7620
Latest observed: 0.7033 · Sep 25, 2026
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
All values in USD per 1 AUD
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 0.0204 | 0.0206 | 91.2% |
| 6 months | 54 | 0.0269 | 0.0258 | 88.9% |
| 12 months | 48 | 0.0388 | 0.0347 | 93.8% |
In these tests the model beat a no-change forecast at 1 of 3 horizons; no change was better or equal at the rest. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 0.7033 | +0.24% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 0.7016 | −0.28% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 0.7036 | −0.93% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 0.7102 | −0.29% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 0.7123 | +0.17% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 0.7111 | −0.04% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 0.7114 | −0.25% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 0.7132 | +0.06% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 0.7128 | −0.18% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 0.7141 | −0.46% |
Sources & limits
Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · DEXUSAL. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.