Currencies · South Korea
USD/KRW forecast
US dollar to South Korean won exchange rate: KRW per 1 USD
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
3 months forecast · Dec 2026
1,376.9
Median forecast · p10-p90: 1,289.4 to 1,473.0
6 months forecast · Mar 2027
1,388.7
Median forecast · p10-p90: 1,276.0 to 1,508.7
12 months forecast · Sep 2027
1,398.9
Median forecast · p10-p90: 1,258.3 to 1,555.7
Latest observed: 1,356.5 · Sep 25, 2026
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
All values in KRW per 1 USD
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 53.3 | 51.5 | 80.7% |
| 6 months | 54 | 60.9 | 58.2 | 81.5% |
| 12 months | 48 | 77.4 | 64.2 | 93.8% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 1,356.5 | −0.94% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 1,369.4 | +0.18% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 1,367.0 | +0.58% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 1,359.1 | −1.15% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 1,374.8 | −0.95% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 1,388.0 | +0.54% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 1,380.5 | +0.94% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 1,367.7 | +0.43% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 1,361.8 | +1.13% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 1,346.6 | +0.47% |
Sources & limits
Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · DEXKOUS. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.