Currencies · India
USD/INR forecast
US dollar to Indian rupee exchange rate: INR per 1 USD
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
3 months forecast · Dec 2026
95.775
Median forecast · p10-p90: 92.359 to 98.656
6 months forecast · Mar 2027
95.297
Median forecast · p10-p90: 90.265 to 99.979
12 months forecast · Sep 2027
94.783
Median forecast · p10-p90: 86.940 to 102.505
Latest observed: 95.810 · Sep 25, 2026
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
All values in INR per 1 USD
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 1.352 | 1.304 | 77.2% |
| 6 months | 54 | 2.315 | 2.280 | 63.0% |
| 12 months | 48 | 4.116 | 4.054 | 39.6% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 95.810 | −0.16% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 95.960 | +0.23% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 95.740 | +0.16% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 95.590 | −0.23% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 95.810 | −0.06% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 95.870 | −0.06% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 95.930 | −0.03% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 95.960 | +0.01% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 95.950 | +0.42% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 95.550 | 0.00% |
Sources & limits
Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · DEXINUS. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.
