Currencies · Colombia
USD/COP forecast
US dollar to Colombian peso exchange rate: COP per 1 USD
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
3 months forecast · Nov 2026
2,971.1
Median forecast · p10-p90: 2,680.0 to 3,355.4
6 months forecast · Feb 2027
2,925.8
Median forecast · p10-p90: 2,510.0 to 3,478.4
12 months forecast · Aug 2027
2,961.3
Median forecast · p10-p90: 2,414.8 to 3,708.0
Latest observed: 3,130.9 · Aug 2026
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
All values in COP per 1 USD
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 58 | 204.6 | 202.7 | 87.9% |
| 6 months | 55 | 299.6 | 323.6 | 85.5% |
| 12 months | 49 | 461.9 | 505.1 | 73.5% |
In these tests the model beat a no-change forecast at 2 of 3 horizons; no change was better or equal at the rest. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | 3,130.9 | −3.93% |
| Jul 2026 | 3,259.2 | −6.71% |
| Jun 2026 | 3,493.6 | −6.03% |
| May 2026 | 3,717.8 | +2.79% |
| Apr 2026 | 3,616.7 | −2.57% |
| Mar 2026 | 3,712.3 | +0.98% |
| Feb 2026 | 3,676.2 | −0.59% |
| Jan 2026 | 3,698.0 | −2.57% |
| Dec 2025 | 3,795.7 | +0.57% |
| Nov 2025 | 3,774.2 | −2.73% |
| Oct 2025 | 3,880.3 | −1.00% |
| Sep 2025 | 3,919.6 | −3.01% |
Sources & limits
Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · COLCCUSMA02STM. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.