Currencies · Switzerland
USD/CHF forecast
US dollar to Swiss franc exchange rate: CHF per 1 USD
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
3 months forecast · Dec 2026
0.8347
Median forecast · p10-p90: 0.7899 to 0.8828
6 months forecast · Mar 2027
0.8381
Median forecast · p10-p90: 0.7788 to 0.9077
12 months forecast · Sep 2027
0.8439
Median forecast · p10-p90: 0.7612 to 0.9580
Latest observed: 0.8282 · Sep 25, 2026
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
All values in CHF per 1 USD
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 0.0296 | 0.0281 | 77.2% |
| 6 months | 54 | 0.0403 | 0.0375 | 68.5% |
| 12 months | 48 | 0.0552 | 0.0504 | 54.2% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 0.8282 | −0.05% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 0.8286 | +0.44% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 0.8250 | +0.38% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 0.8219 | +0.07% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 0.8213 | −0.35% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 0.8242 | −0.04% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 0.8245 | +0.66% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 0.8191 | +0.01% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 0.8190 | +0.21% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 0.8173 | +0.17% |
Sources & limits
Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · DEXSZUS. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.