Currencies forecast · FRED data
USD/JPY forecast
US dollar to Japanese yen exchange rate: JPY per 1 USD
Last close · Sep 25, 2026
157.18
USD/JPY is forecast at 161.93 in 12 months (Sep 2027), with an 80% range of 147.96 to 170.42. The last close was 157.18 on Sep 25, 2026, so the median implies a change of +3.0%.
Along the way, the median is 159.47 in 3 months and 161.19 in 6 months.
A higher value means a stronger US dollar: more Japanese yen per USD.
- 3 monthsDec 2026
- 159.47▲ +1.5%80%: 150.10 – 164.48
- 6 monthsMar 2027
- 161.19▲ +2.6%80%: 150.19 – 166.91
- 12 monthsSep 2027
- 161.93▲ +3.0%80%: 147.96 – 170.42
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 7.06 | 6.66 | 77% |
| 6 months | 54 | 9.80 | 8.99 | 83% |
| 12 months | 48 | 12.79 | 10.91 | 83% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 157.18 | −1.09% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 158.92 | +0.39% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 158.30 | +0.48% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 157.55 | +0.06% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 157.46 | +0.38% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 156.87 | +0.65% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 155.85 | +0.50% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 155.08 | −0.02% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 155.11 | +0.45% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 154.42 | +0.46% |
About this forecast
- Source
- FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · series DEXJPUS
- Data through
- Sep 25, 2026 · 6,703 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
Other currency forecasts
All 19Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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