Currencies forecast · FRED data
GBP/USD forecast
British pound to US dollar exchange rate: USD per 1 GBP
Last close · Sep 25, 2026
1.3250
GBP/USD is forecast at 1.3242 in 12 months (Sep 2027), with an 80% range of 1.1957 to 1.4114. The last close was 1.3250 on Sep 25, 2026, so the median implies a change of −0.1%.
Along the way, the median is 1.3251 in 3 months and 1.3253 in 6 months.
A higher value means a stronger British pound: more US dollars per GBP.
- 3 monthsDec 2026
- 1.3251■ 0.0%80%: 1.2649 – 1.3725
- 6 monthsMar 2027
- 1.3253■ 0.0%80%: 1.2415 – 1.3879
- 12 monthsSep 2027
- 1.3242▼ −0.1%80%: 1.1957 – 1.4114
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 0.0384 | 0.0383 | 81% |
| 6 months | 54 | 0.0493 | 0.0501 | 83% |
| 12 months | 48 | 0.0638 | 0.0611 | 85% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 1.3250 | +0.25% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 1.3217 | −0.27% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 1.3253 | −0.55% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 1.3326 | −0.34% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 1.3371 | −0.01% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 1.3372 | +0.19% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 1.3347 | −0.77% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 1.3451 | −0.21% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 1.3479 | −0.11% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 1.3494 | −0.22% |
About this forecast
- Source
- FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · series DEXUSUK
- Data through
- Sep 25, 2026 · 6,703 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
Other currency forecasts
All 19Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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