Currencies forecast · FRED data

USD/CAD forecast

US dollar to Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD per 1 USD

Last close · Sep 25, 2026

1.4140

USD/CAD is forecast at 1.3861 in 12 months (Sep 2027), with an 80% range of 1.3204 to 1.4740. The last close was 1.4140 on Sep 25, 2026, so the median implies a change of −2.0%.

Along the way, the median is 1.4036 in 3 months and 1.3967 in 6 months.

A higher value means a stronger US dollar: more Canadian dollars per USD.

1.351.401.452024202520262027HistoryForecast3M1.40366M1.396712M1.3861
1.351.401.4520242026HistoryForecast
3 monthsDec 2026
1.4036▼ −0.7%80%: 1.3620 – 1.4539
6 monthsMar 2027
1.3967▼ −1.2%80%: 1.3412 – 1.4644
12 monthsSep 2027
1.3861▼ −2.0%80%: 1.3204 – 1.4740

Backtest · last 5 years

How accurate has this been?

HorizonTestsAvg. errorNaive errorIn 80% range
3 months570.02530.024188%
6 months540.03340.031587%
12 months480.04670.041396%

We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Methodology

Source data

Recent values

DateValueChange
Sep 25, 20261.41400.00%
Sep 24, 20261.4140+0.30%
Sep 23, 20261.4098+0.20%
Sep 22, 20261.4070+0.34%
Sep 21, 20261.4023+0.11%
Sep 18, 20261.4008+0.12%
Sep 17, 20261.3991+0.41%
Sep 16, 20261.3934+0.13%
Sep 15, 20261.3916+0.04%
Sep 14, 20261.3911+0.34%

About this forecast

Source
FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · series DEXCAUS
Data through
Sep 25, 2026 · 6,703 observations
Forecast updated
Sep 28, 2026
Model
TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot

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Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.

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