Currencies forecast · FRED data
USD/CAD forecast
US dollar to Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD per 1 USD
Last close · Sep 25, 2026
1.4140
USD/CAD is forecast at 1.3861 in 12 months (Sep 2027), with an 80% range of 1.3204 to 1.4740. The last close was 1.4140 on Sep 25, 2026, so the median implies a change of −2.0%.
Along the way, the median is 1.4036 in 3 months and 1.3967 in 6 months.
A higher value means a stronger US dollar: more Canadian dollars per USD.
- 3 monthsDec 2026
- 1.4036▼ −0.7%80%: 1.3620 – 1.4539
- 6 monthsMar 2027
- 1.3967▼ −1.2%80%: 1.3412 – 1.4644
- 12 monthsSep 2027
- 1.3861▼ −2.0%80%: 1.3204 – 1.4740
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 0.0253 | 0.0241 | 88% |
| 6 months | 54 | 0.0334 | 0.0315 | 87% |
| 12 months | 48 | 0.0467 | 0.0413 | 96% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 1.4140 | 0.00% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 1.4140 | +0.30% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 1.4098 | +0.20% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 1.4070 | +0.34% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 1.4023 | +0.11% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 1.4008 | +0.12% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 1.3991 | +0.41% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 1.3934 | +0.13% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 1.3916 | +0.04% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 1.3911 | +0.34% |
About this forecast
- Source
- FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · series DEXCAUS
- Data through
- Sep 25, 2026 · 6,703 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
Other currency forecasts
All 19Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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