GDP per capita · Colombia
Colombia GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$8,908
Median forecast · p10-p90: $7,289 to $10,930
24 months forecast · 2027
$9,395
Median forecast · p10-p90: $7,226 to $12,039
36 months forecast · 2028
$9,626
Median forecast · p10-p90: $7,013 to $12,757
Latest observed: $8,562 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $645 | $644 | 100.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $1,147 | $1,238 | 100.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $1,634 | $1,761 | 100.0% |
In these tests the model beat a no-change forecast at 2 of 3 horizons; no change was better or equal at the rest. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8,562 | +7.68% |
| 2024 | $7,951 | +13.38% |
| 2023 | $7,012 | +4.97% |
| 2022 | $6,680 | +7.36% |
| 2021 | $6,223 | +16.54% |
| 2020 | $5,340 | −17.50% |
| 2019 | $6,473 | −5.05% |
| 2018 | $6,817 | +5.21% |
| 2017 | $6,480 | +8.72% |
| 2016 | $5,960 | −4.62% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.