GDP per capita · Argentina
Argentina GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$14,858
Median forecast · p10-p90: $12,610 to $16,876
24 months forecast · 2027
$14,889
Median forecast · p10-p90: $11,928 to $17,696
36 months forecast · 2028
$14,869
Median forecast · p10-p90: $11,378 to $18,317
Latest observed: $14,898 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $1,303 | $1,389 | 80.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $2,082 | $2,399 | 75.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $3,258 | $3,298 | 66.7% |
In these tests the model had lower average error than a no-change forecast at all 3 horizons. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $14,898 | +6.65% |
| 2024 | $13,970 | −2.05% |
| 2023 | $14,262 | +2.15% |
| 2022 | $13,962 | +30.03% |
| 2021 | $10,738 | +25.80% |
| 2020 | $8,536 | −14.27% |
| 2019 | $9,956 | −15.29% |
| 2018 | $11,753 | −19.13% |
| 2017 | $14,533 | +14.43% |
| 2016 | $12,700 | −7.16% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.