Population · Argentina
Argentina population forecast
Population, total
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
46.19M
Median forecast · p10-p90: 45.75M to 46.34M
24 months forecast · 2027
46.19M
Median forecast · p10-p90: 45.65M to 46.35M
36 months forecast · 2028
46.44M
Median forecast · p10-p90: 45.76M to 46.70M
Latest observed: 45.85M · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in People
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 0.11M | 0.13M | 100.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | 0.12M | 0.26M | 100.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | 0.16M | 0.39M | 100.0% |
In these tests the model had lower average error than a no-change forecast at all 3 horizons. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45.85M | +0.34% |
| 2024 | 45.70M | +0.35% |
| 2023 | 45.54M | +0.29% |
| 2022 | 45.41M | +0.21% |
| 2021 | 45.31M | +0.27% |
| 2020 | 45.19M | +0.49% |
| 2019 | 44.97M | +0.71% |
| 2018 | 44.65M | +0.83% |
| 2017 | 44.29M | +0.89% |
| 2016 | 43.90M | +0.97% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · SP.POP.TOTL. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.