Population forecast · World Bank data
Canada population forecast
Population, total
Latest · 2025
41.65M
The population of Canada is forecast at 42.07M in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 41.47M to 42.92M. The latest World Bank figure is 41.65M for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 42.40M and 42.69M (+2.5% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 41.86M▲ +0.5%80%: 41.56M – 42.28M
- 12 months2026
- 42.07M▲ +1.0%80%: 41.47M – 42.92M
- 24 months2027
- 42.40M▲ +1.8%80%: 41.27M – 43.46M
- 36 months2028
- 42.69M▲ +2.5%80%: 41.25M – 44.42M
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 0.38M | 0.72M | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | 0.64M | 1.66M | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | 1.35M | 2.58M | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41.65M | +0.94% |
| 2024 | 41.26M | +3.03% |
| 2023 | 40.05M | +2.82% |
| 2022 | 38.95M | +1.86% |
| 2021 | 38.24M | +0.56% |
| 2020 | 38.03M | +1.09% |
| 2019 | 37.62M | +1.47% |
| 2018 | 37.07M | +1.44% |
| 2017 | 36.55M | +1.20% |
| 2016 | 36.11M | +1.14% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series SP.POP.TOTL
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Canada
Canada overviewOther population forecasts
All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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