Population forecast · World Bank data
Brazil population forecast
Population, total
Latest · 2025
212.8M
The population of Brazil is forecast at 213.6M in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 212.0M to 215.0M. The latest World Bank figure is 212.8M for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 214.5M and 215.4M (+1.2% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 213.2M▲ +0.2%80%: 212.4M – 213.9M
- 12 months2026
- 213.6M▲ +0.4%80%: 212.0M – 215.0M
- 24 months2027
- 214.5M▲ +0.8%80%: 212.0M – 216.4M
- 36 months2028
- 215.4M▲ +1.2%80%: 212.5M – 217.4M
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 1.00M | 0.83M | 100% |
| 24 months | 4 | 1.07M | 1.65M | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | 1.44M | 2.48M | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 212.8M | +0.38% |
| 2024 | 212.0M | +0.41% |
| 2023 | 211.1M | +0.40% |
| 2022 | 210.3M | +0.36% |
| 2021 | 209.6M | +0.43% |
| 2020 | 208.7M | +0.58% |
| 2019 | 207.5M | +0.65% |
| 2018 | 206.1M | +0.69% |
| 2017 | 204.7M | +0.73% |
| 2016 | 203.2M | +0.76% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series SP.POP.TOTL
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Brazil
Brazil overviewOther population forecasts
All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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