GDP growth forecast · World Bank data
Brazil GDP growth forecast
GDP growth (annual %)
Latest · 2025
2.3%
GDP growth in Brazil is forecast at 2.5% in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of −1.9% to 6.5%. The latest World Bank figure is 2.3% for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 2.6% and 2.7% (+0.4 pp versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 20261 yr ahead
- 2.5%▲ +0.3 pp80%: −1.9% – 6.5%
- 20272 yr ahead
- 2.6%▲ +0.4 pp80%: −2.1% – 6.8%
- 20283 yr ahead
- 2.7%▲ +0.4 pp80%: −2.2% – 7.1%
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr ahead | 5 | 1.22 pp | 2.26 pp | 100% |
| 2 yr ahead | 4 | 0.90 pp | 2.29 pp | 100% |
| 3 yr ahead | 3 | 0.87 pp | 2.86 pp | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened (percentage points); naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.3% | −1.13 pp |
| 2024 | 3.4% | +0.18 pp |
| 2023 | 3.2% | +0.22 pp |
| 2022 | 3.0% | −1.75 pp |
| 2021 | 4.8% | +8.04 pp |
| 2020 | −3.3% | −4.50 pp |
| 2019 | 1.2% | −0.56 pp |
| 2018 | 1.8% | +0.46 pp |
| 2017 | 1.3% | +4.60 pp |
| 2016 | −3.3% | +0.27 pp |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
- Data through
- 2025 · 65 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Brazil
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All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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