GDP growth forecast · World Bank data
Argentina GDP growth forecast
GDP growth (annual %)
Latest · 2025
4.4%
GDP growth in Argentina is forecast at 2.2% in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of −5.0% to 9.2%. The latest World Bank figure is 4.4% for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 2.3% and 2.5% (−1.9 pp versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 3.3%▼ −1.1 pp80%: −0.3% – 6.8%
- 12 months2026
- 2.2%▼ −2.1 pp80%: −5.0% – 9.2%
- 24 months2027
- 2.3%▼ −2.1 pp80%: −5.2% – 9.3%
- 36 months2028
- 2.5%▼ −1.9 pp80%: −5.1% – 9.6%
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 4.72 pp | 7.77 pp | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | 3.73 pp | 10.45 pp | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | 2.52 pp | 7.16 pp | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened (percentage points); naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.4% | +5.71 pp |
| 2024 | −1.3% | +0.51 pp |
| 2023 | −1.9% | −7.88 pp |
| 2022 | 6.0% | −4.42 pp |
| 2021 | 10.4% | +20.34 pp |
| 2020 | −9.9% | −7.90 pp |
| 2019 | −2.0% | +0.62 pp |
| 2018 | −2.6% | −5.44 pp |
| 2017 | 2.8% | +4.90 pp |
| 2016 | −2.1% | −4.81 pp |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
- Data through
- 2025 · 65 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Argentina
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All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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