Americas · World Bank + FRED data · updated Sep 28, 2026

Brazil economy forecast

For 2026 the model expects inflation of 5.2%, GDP growth of 2.5% and unemployment of 5.9% in Brazil.

Inflation

CPI, annual %

5.2%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 5.0%▲ +0.2 pp

GDP growth

Annual %

2.5%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 2.3%▲ +0.3 pp

Unemployment

% of labor force, ILO modeled

5.9%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 6.0%■ 0.0 pp

GDP per capita

Current US$

$11,084

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: $10,713▲ +3.5%

Population

Population, total

213.6M

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 212.8M▲ +0.4%

USD/BRL

BRL per 1 USD

5.1947

in 12 months

Last close · Sep 25, 2026: 5.1921■ 0.0%

Brazil at a glance, 2026–2028

IndicatorLatest202620272028
Inflation5.0% 20255.2%6.6%5.8%
GDP growth2.3% 20252.5%2.6%2.7%
Unemployment6.0% 20255.9%6.3%6.6%
GDP per capita$10,713 2025$11,084$10,974$10,667
Population212.8M 2025213.6M214.5M215.4M

Medians; each indicator's page shows its 80% range and backtest.

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Statistical model, not financial advice. Forecasts are automatic outputs of TimesFM 2.5 on public data; outcomes land outside the 80% range about one time in five.