Americas · World Bank + FRED data · updated Sep 28, 2026
United States economy forecast
For 2026 the model expects inflation of 4.3%, GDP growth of 2.6% and unemployment of 4.1% in United States.
Inflation
CPI, annual %
4.3%
2026 forecast
Latest · 2024: 2.9%▲ +1.4 pp
GDP growth
Annual %
2.6%
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: 2.2%▲ +0.4 pp
Unemployment
% of labor force, ILO modeled
4.1%
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: 4.2%▼ −0.1 pp
GDP per capita
Current US$
$94,309
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: $90,027▲ +4.8%
Population
Population, total
345.1M
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: 341.8M▲ +1.0%
US 10-year Treasury yield
% per year
5.05%
in 12 months
Last close · Sep 25, 2026: 5.17%▼ −0.12 pp
US 2-year Treasury yield
% per year
4.74%
in 12 months
Last close · Sep 25, 2026: 4.81%▼ −0.07 pp
Fed funds rate
% per year, monthly average
3.61%
in 12 months
Latest · Aug 2026: 3.63%▼ −0.02 pp
United States at a glance, 2026–2028
| Indicator | Latest | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation | 2.9% 2024 | 4.3% | 4.7% | – |
| GDP growth | 2.2% 2025 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| Unemployment | 4.2% 2025 | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| GDP per capita | $90,027 2025 | $94,309 | $96,334 | $98,538 |
| Population | 341.8M 2025 | 345.1M | 346.6M | 347.0M |
Medians; each indicator's page shows its 80% range and backtest.
Other countries in Americas
All countriesStatistical model, not financial advice. Forecasts are automatic outputs of TimesFM 2.5 on public data; outcomes land outside the 80% range about one time in five.