Job openings · United States
United States job openings forecast
Job openings (thousands, total nonfarm, seasonally adjusted)
Model run: Oct 2, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
3 months forecast · Nov 2026
7,024
Median forecast · p10-p90: 6,438 to 7,796
6 months forecast · Feb 2027
6,914
Median forecast · p10-p90: 6,192 to 7,843
12 months forecast · Aug 2027
6,775
Median forecast · p10-p90: 5,717 to 8,115
Latest observed: 7,079 · Aug 2026
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
All values in Thousands, total nonfarm, seasonally adjusted
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 58 | 384 | 411 | 87.9% |
| 6 months | 55 | 539 | 644 | 87.3% |
| 12 months | 49 | 779 | 1,109 | 93.9% |
In these tests the model had lower average error than a no-change forecast at all 3 horizons. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | 7,079 | −3.49% |
| Jul 2026 | 7,335 | +2.13% |
| Jun 2026 | 7,182 | −4.71% |
| May 2026 | 7,537 | −0.63% |
| Apr 2026 | 7,585 | +10.14% |
| Mar 2026 | 6,887 | −0.51% |
| Feb 2026 | 6,922 | −4.39% |
| Jan 2026 | 7,240 | +10.53% |
| Dec 2025 | 6,550 | −4.32% |
| Nov 2025 | 6,846 | −4.52% |
| Oct 2025 | 7,170 | +0.01% |
| Sep 2025 | 7,169 | +3.61% |
Sources & limits
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · JTS000000000000000JOL. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.