GDP per capita · Brazil
Brazil GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$11,084
Median forecast · p10-p90: $8,719 to $13,717
24 months forecast · 2027
$10,974
Median forecast · p10-p90: $7,793 to $14,396
36 months forecast · 2028
$10,667
Median forecast · p10-p90: $6,925 to $14,916
Latest observed: $10,713 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $877 | $755 | 100.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $1,560 | $1,494 | 100.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $2,513 | $2,358 | 100.0% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $10,713 | +3.91% |
| 2024 | $10,311 | −0.65% |
| 2023 | $10,378 | +11.81% |
| 2022 | $9,281 | +16.42% |
| 2021 | $7,973 | +12.70% |
| 2020 | $7,074 | −21.66% |
| 2019 | $9,030 | −2.91% |
| 2018 | $9,301 | −7.74% |
| 2017 | $10,081 | +14.08% |
| 2016 | $8,836 | −1.12% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.