GDP growth forecast · World Bank data
Thailand GDP growth forecast
GDP growth (annual %)
Latest · 2025
2.4%
GDP growth in Thailand is forecast at 2.9% in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of −0.8% to 6.0%. The latest World Bank figure is 2.4% for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 3.0% and 3.1% (+0.6 pp versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 2.7%▲ +0.2 pp80%: 0.8% – 4.2%
- 12 months2026
- 2.9%▲ +0.4 pp80%: −0.8% – 6.0%
- 24 months2027
- 3.0%▲ +0.6 pp80%: −1.0% – 6.4%
- 36 months2028
- 3.1%▲ +0.6 pp80%: −1.2% – 6.6%
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 0.48 pp | 2.07 pp | 100% |
| 24 months | 4 | 0.68 pp | 2.48 pp | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | 0.34 pp | 3.31 pp | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened (percentage points); naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.4% | −0.51 pp |
| 2024 | 2.9% | +0.70 pp |
| 2023 | 2.2% | −0.39 pp |
| 2022 | 2.6% | +1.08 pp |
| 2021 | 1.6% | +7.65 pp |
| 2020 | −6.1% | −8.21 pp |
| 2019 | 2.1% | −2.11 pp |
| 2018 | 4.2% | +0.05 pp |
| 2017 | 4.2% | +0.74 pp |
| 2016 | 3.4% | +0.30 pp |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
- Data through
- 2025 · 65 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Thailand
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All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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