GDP per capita · Thailand
Thailand GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$8,217
Median forecast · p10-p90: $7,220 to $9,645
24 months forecast · 2027
$8,440
Median forecast · p10-p90: $7,085 to $10,297
36 months forecast · 2028
$8,586
Median forecast · p10-p90: $6,914 to $10,770
Latest observed: $8,057 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $276 | $273 | 100.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $241 | $388 | 100.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $376 | $569 | 100.0% |
In these tests the model beat a no-change forecast at 2 of 3 horizons; no change was better or equal at the rest. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8,057 | +9.07% |
| 2024 | $7,387 | +2.44% |
| 2023 | $7,211 | +4.35% |
| 2022 | $6,910 | −2.06% |
| 2021 | $7,055 | +1.03% |
| 2020 | $6,983 | −8.19% |
| 2019 | $7,606 | +7.13% |
| 2018 | $7,100 | +10.71% |
| 2017 | $6,413 | +9.93% |
| 2016 | $5,834 | +2.54% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.