GDP growth forecast · World Bank data
Peru GDP growth forecast
GDP growth (annual %)
Latest · 2025
3.4%
GDP growth in Peru is forecast at 3.5% in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of −2.2% to 8.4%. The latest World Bank figure is 3.4% for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 3.5% and 3.8% (+0.4 pp versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 3.4%■ 0.0 pp80%: 0.6% – 5.9%
- 12 months2026
- 3.5%■ 0.0 pp80%: −2.2% – 8.4%
- 24 months2027
- 3.5%▲ +0.1 pp80%: −2.5% – 8.5%
- 36 months2028
- 3.8%▲ +0.4 pp80%: −2.4% – 8.9%
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 4.79 pp | 8.41 pp | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | 2.18 pp | 8.00 pp | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | 2.06 pp | 7.03 pp | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened (percentage points); naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.4% | −0.08 pp |
| 2024 | 3.5% | +3.87 pp |
| 2023 | −0.4% | −3.17 pp |
| 2022 | 2.8% | −10.60 pp |
| 2021 | 13.4% | +24.35 pp |
| 2020 | −10.9% | −13.17 pp |
| 2019 | 2.2% | −1.73 pp |
| 2018 | 4.0% | +1.45 pp |
| 2017 | 2.5% | −1.43 pp |
| 2016 | 4.0% | +0.70 pp |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
- Data through
- 2025 · 65 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Peru
Peru overviewOther GDP growth forecasts
All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
Need a series we don't cover? Request a forecast →