GDP per capita · Peru
Peru GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$10,097
Median forecast · p10-p90: $8,754 to $11,719
24 months forecast · 2027
$10,328
Median forecast · p10-p90: $8,421 to $12,529
36 months forecast · 2028
$10,420
Median forecast · p10-p90: $8,111 to $13,062
Latest observed: $9,684 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $894 | $710 | 100.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $1,545 | $1,312 | 75.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $2,329 | $1,938 | 0.0% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $9,684 | +13.58% |
| 2024 | $8,526 | +7.67% |
| 2023 | $7,919 | +7.69% |
| 2022 | $7,354 | +7.69% |
| 2021 | $6,829 | +11.33% |
| 2020 | $6,133 | −12.84% |
| 2019 | $7,037 | +0.84% |
| 2018 | $6,978 | +3.60% |
| 2017 | $6,736 | +8.35% |
| 2016 | $6,217 | −0.24% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.