GDP per capita forecast · World Bank data
Italy GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Latest · 2025
$43,309
GDP per capita in Italy is forecast at $43,922 in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of $36,882 to $52,692. The latest World Bank figure is $43,309 for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects $44,482 and $44,542 (+2.8% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- $43,615▲ +0.7%80%: $40,095 – $48,000
- 12 months2026
- $43,922▲ +1.4%80%: $36,882 – $52,692
- 24 months2027
- $44,482▲ +2.7%80%: $36,030 – $55,022
- 36 months2028
- $44,542▲ +2.8%80%: $34,784 – $56,604
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $2,507 | $2,723 | 100% |
| 24 months | 4 | $3,583 | $3,699 | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | $6,111 | $6,140 | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $43,309 | +7.12% |
| 2024 | $40,430 | +2.93% |
| 2023 | $39,280 | +10.17% |
| 2022 | $35,654 | −3.25% |
| 2021 | $36,853 | +14.84% |
| 2020 | $32,091 | −5.09% |
| 2019 | $33,813 | −3.56% |
| 2018 | $35,062 | +6.75% |
| 2017 | $32,844 | +4.63% |
| 2016 | $31,392 | +2.45% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.PCAP.CD
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Italy
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All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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