Europe · Eurostat + World Bank + FRED data · updated Oct 11, 2026
Italy economy forecast
For 2026 the model expects inflation of 1.6%, GDP growth of 0.6% and unemployment of 6.1% in Italy.
Industrial production
Index 2021=100, monthly, seasonally and calendar adjusted
93.6
in 12 months
HICP price index
2025=100, monthly, not seasonally adjusted
105.3
in 12 months
Monthly unemployment
Percent of labour force, monthly, seasonally adjusted
6.5%
in 12 months
Retail trade volume
Index 2021=100, monthly, seasonally and calendar adjusted
98.5
in 12 months
Inflation
CPI, annual %
1.6%
2026 forecast
GDP growth
Annual %
0.6%
2026 forecast
Unemployment
% of labor force, ILO modeled
6.1%
2026 forecast
GDP per capita
Current US$
$43,922
2026 forecast
Population
People
58.80M
2026 forecast
EUR/USD
USD per 1 EUR
1.1240
in 12 months
Italy at a glance, 2026–2028
| Indicator | Latest | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation | 1.5% 2025 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| GDP growth | 0.5% 2025 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Unemployment | 6.4% 2025 | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% |
| GDP per capita | $43,309 2025 | $43,922 | $44,482 | $44,542 |
| Population | 58.92M 2025 | 58.80M | 58.84M | 59.02M |
Medians; each indicator's page shows its 80% range and backtest.
Other countries in Europe
All countriesStatistical model, not financial advice. Forecasts are automatic outputs of TimesFM 2.5 on public data; outcomes land outside the 80% range about one time in five.