Europe · World Bank + FRED data · updated Sep 28, 2026
Italy economy forecast
For 2026 the model expects inflation of 1.6%, GDP growth of 0.6% and unemployment of 6.1% in Italy.
Inflation
CPI, annual %
1.6%
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: 1.5%■ 0.0 pp
GDP growth
Annual %
0.6%
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: 0.5%▲ +0.1 pp
Unemployment
% of labor force, ILO modeled
6.1%
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: 6.4%▼ −0.3 pp
GDP per capita
Current US$
$43,922
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: $43,309▲ +1.4%
Population
Population, total
58.80M
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: 58.92M▼ −0.2%
USD/EUR
EUR per 1 USD
0.8897
in 12 months
Last close · Sep 25, 2026: 0.8772▲ +1.4%
Italy at a glance, 2026–2028
| Indicator | Latest | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation | 1.5% 2025 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| GDP growth | 0.5% 2025 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Unemployment | 6.4% 2025 | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% |
| GDP per capita | $43,309 2025 | $43,922 | $44,482 | $44,542 |
| Population | 58.92M 2025 | 58.80M | 58.84M | 59.02M |
Medians; each indicator's page shows its 80% range and backtest.
Other countries in Europe
All countriesStatistical model, not financial advice. Forecasts are automatic outputs of TimesFM 2.5 on public data; outcomes land outside the 80% range about one time in five.