Europe · Eurostat + World Bank + FRED data · updated Oct 11, 2026

France economy forecast

For 2026 the model expects inflation of 1.3%, GDP growth of 1.3% and unemployment of 7.6% in France.

Industrial production

Index 2021=100, monthly, seasonally and calendar adjusted

103.0

in 12 months

Latest · Aug 2026: 102.4▲ +0.6%

HICP price index

2025=100, monthly, not seasonally adjusted

106.7

in 12 months

Latest · Aug 2026: 103.8▲ +2.8%

Monthly unemployment

Percent of labour force, monthly, seasonally adjusted

8.2%

in 12 months

Latest · Aug 2026: 8.2%■ 0.0 pp

Retail trade volume

Index 2021=100, monthly, seasonally and calendar adjusted

110.8

in 12 months

Latest · Aug 2026: 108.6▲ +2.1%

Inflation

CPI, annual %

1.3%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 0.9%▲ +0.3 pp

GDP growth

Annual %

1.3%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 0.8%▲ +0.5 pp

Unemployment

% of labor force, ILO modeled

7.6%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 7.5%▲ +0.1 pp

GDP per capita

Current US$

$49,752

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: $48,986▲ +1.6%

Population

People

68.94M

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 68.72M▲ +0.3%

EUR/USD

USD per 1 EUR

1.1240

in 12 months

Last close · Sep 25, 2026: 1.1400▼ −1.4%

France at a glance, 2026–2028

IndicatorLatest202620272028
Inflation0.9% 20251.3%1.4%1.4%
GDP growth0.8% 20251.3%1.3%1.3%
Unemployment7.5% 20257.6%7.8%7.9%
GDP per capita$48,986 2025$49,752$49,668$49,051
Population68.72M 202568.94M68.95M69.18M

Medians; each indicator's page shows its 80% range and backtest.

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Statistical model, not financial advice. Forecasts are automatic outputs of TimesFM 2.5 on public data; outcomes land outside the 80% range about one time in five.