GDP per capita · France
France GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$49,752
Median forecast · p10-p90: $43,058 to $57,025
24 months forecast · 2027
$49,668
Median forecast · p10-p90: $41,070 to $58,750
36 months forecast · 2028
$49,051
Median forecast · p10-p90: $39,103 to $59,621
Latest observed: $48,986 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $2,929 | $3,058 | 100.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $2,551 | $3,048 | 100.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $4,570 | $5,302 | 100.0% |
In these tests the model had lower average error than a no-change forecast at all 3 horizons. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $48,986 | +6.25% |
| 2024 | $46,103 | +3.14% |
| 2023 | $44,700 | +9.05% |
| 2022 | $40,989 | −6.26% |
| 2021 | $43,725 | +11.63% |
| 2020 | $39,170 | −3.06% |
| 2019 | $40,408 | −2.44% |
| 2018 | $41,418 | +7.06% |
| 2017 | $38,687 | +4.49% |
| 2016 | $37,024 | +0.88% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.