Europe · Eurostat + World Bank + FRED data · updated Oct 11, 2026

Spain economy forecast

For 2026 the model expects inflation of 2.6%, GDP growth of 2.9% and unemployment of 10.5% in Spain.

Industrial production

Index 2021=100, monthly, seasonally and calendar adjusted

105.1

in 12 months

Latest · Aug 2026: 103.8▲ +1.3%

HICP price index

2025=100, monthly, not seasonally adjusted

107.9

in 12 months

Latest · Aug 2026: 104.7▲ +3.0%

Monthly unemployment

Percent of labour force, monthly, seasonally adjusted

10.1%

in 12 months

Latest · Aug 2026: 10.0%▲ +0.1 pp

Retail trade volume

Index 2021=100, monthly, seasonally and calendar adjusted

115.0

in 12 months

Latest · Aug 2026: 111.6▲ +3.1%

Inflation

CPI, annual %

2.6%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 2.7%▼ −0.1 pp

GDP growth

Annual %

2.9%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 2.8%▲ +0.1 pp

Unemployment

% of labor force, ILO modeled

10.5%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 10.4%▲ +0.1 pp

GDP per capita

Current US$

$40,308

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: $38,627▲ +4.4%

Population

People

49.79M

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 49.36M▲ +0.9%

EUR/USD

USD per 1 EUR

1.1240

in 12 months

Last close · Sep 25, 2026: 1.1400▼ −1.4%

Spain at a glance, 2026–2028

IndicatorLatest202620272028
Inflation2.7% 20252.6%2.6%2.7%
GDP growth2.8% 20252.9%3.0%3.1%
Unemployment10.4% 202510.5%10.6%10.7%
GDP per capita$38,627 2025$40,308$40,784$40,566
Population49.36M 202549.79M50.37M51.05M

Medians; each indicator's page shows its 80% range and backtest.

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Statistical model, not financial advice. Forecasts are automatic outputs of TimesFM 2.5 on public data; outcomes land outside the 80% range about one time in five.