Europe · World Bank + FRED data · updated Sep 28, 2026
United Kingdom economy forecast
For 2026 the model expects inflation of 3.9%, GDP growth of 1.8% and unemployment of 4.9% in United Kingdom.
Inflation
CPI, annual %
3.9%
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: 3.9%▲ +0.1 pp
GDP growth
Annual %
1.8%
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: 1.4%▲ +0.4 pp
Unemployment
% of labor force, ILO modeled
4.9%
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: 4.7%▲ +0.2 pp
GDP per capita
Current US$
$59,287
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: $57,602▲ +2.9%
Population
People
69.55M
2026 forecast
Latest · 2025: 69.49M▲ +0.1%
GBP/USD
USD per 1 GBP
1.3242
in 12 months
Last close · Sep 25, 2026: 1.3250▼ −0.1%
United Kingdom at a glance, 2026–2028
| Indicator | Latest | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation | 3.9% 2025 | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| GDP growth | 1.4% 2025 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| Unemployment | 4.7% 2025 | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% |
| GDP per capita | $57,602 2025 | $59,287 | $60,772 | $62,137 |
| Population | 69.49M 2025 | 69.55M | 69.56M | 69.72M |
Medians; each indicator's page shows its 80% range and backtest.
Other countries in Europe
All countriesStatistical model, not financial advice. Forecasts are automatic outputs of TimesFM 2.5 on public data; outcomes land outside the 80% range about one time in five.