Europe · World Bank + FRED data · updated Sep 28, 2026

Sweden economy forecast

For 2026 the model expects inflation of 1.5%, GDP growth of 1.7% and unemployment of 8.3% in Sweden.

Inflation

CPI, annual %

1.5%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 0.7%▲ +0.8 pp

GDP growth

Annual %

1.7%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 1.5%▲ +0.2 pp

Unemployment

% of labor force, ILO modeled

8.3%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 8.7%▼ −0.4 pp

GDP per capita

Current US$

$62,372

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: $63,133▼ −1.2%

Population

Population, total

10.60M

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 10.60M■ 0.0%

USD/SEK

SEK per 1 USD

9.9127

in 12 months

Last close · Sep 25, 2026: 9.9047▲ +0.1%

Sweden at a glance, 2026–2028

IndicatorLatest202620272028
Inflation0.7% 20251.5%1.6%1.7%
GDP growth1.5% 20251.7%1.8%1.8%
Unemployment8.7% 20258.3%7.9%7.7%
GDP per capita$63,133 2025$62,372$62,231$62,007
Population10.60M 202510.60M10.63M10.68M

Medians; each indicator's page shows its 80% range and backtest.

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Statistical model, not financial advice. Forecasts are automatic outputs of TimesFM 2.5 on public data; outcomes land outside the 80% range about one time in five.