Currencies · Sweden
USD/SEK forecast
US dollar to Swedish krona exchange rate: SEK per 1 USD
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
3 months forecast · Dec 2026
9.9273
Median forecast · p10-p90: 9.3568 to 10.5761
6 months forecast · Mar 2027
9.9182
Median forecast · p10-p90: 9.2039 to 10.8163
12 months forecast · Sep 2027
9.9127
Median forecast · p10-p90: 8.8906 to 11.2297
Latest observed: 9.9047 · Sep 25, 2026
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
All values in SEK per 1 USD
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 0.3986 | 0.4147 | 84.2% |
| 6 months | 54 | 0.5249 | 0.5420 | 79.6% |
| 12 months | 48 | 0.6864 | 0.7262 | 87.5% |
In these tests the model had lower average error than a no-change forecast at all 3 horizons. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 9.9047 | −0.36% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 9.9403 | +0.33% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 9.9075 | +0.36% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 9.8715 | +0.32% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 9.8400 | −0.23% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 9.8628 | +0.43% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 9.8206 | +0.48% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 9.7740 | −0.03% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 9.7771 | +0.29% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 9.7492 | +0.57% |
Sources & limits
Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · DEXSDUS. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.