GDP per capita · Sweden
Sweden GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$62,372
Median forecast · p10-p90: $54,360 to $73,197
24 months forecast · 2027
$62,231
Median forecast · p10-p90: $51,277 to $75,598
36 months forecast · 2028
$62,007
Median forecast · p10-p90: $48,570 to $78,117
Latest observed: $63,133 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $4,351 | $4,437 | 100.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $4,669 | $4,634 | 100.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $4,550 | $4,701 | 100.0% |
In these tests the model beat a no-change forecast at 2 of 3 horizons; no change was better or equal at the rest. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $63,133 | +10.33% |
| 2024 | $57,223 | +4.14% |
| 2023 | $54,950 | +0.21% |
| 2022 | $54,837 | −9.58% |
| 2021 | $60,648 | +15.37% |
| 2020 | $52,569 | +1.78% |
| 2019 | $51,649 | −4.39% |
| 2018 | $54,018 | +1.52% |
| 2017 | $53,210 | +2.91% |
| 2016 | $51,704 | +1.01% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.