GDP per capita forecast · World Bank data
Japan GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Latest · 2025
$35,951
GDP per capita in Japan is forecast at $35,660 in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of $32,336 to $40,716. The latest World Bank figure is $35,951 for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects $35,356 and $35,209 (−2.1% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- $35,805▼ −0.4%80%: $34,143 – $38,334
- 12 months2026
- $35,660▼ −0.8%80%: $32,336 – $40,716
- 24 months2027
- $35,356▼ −1.7%80%: $31,012 – $41,508
- 36 months2028
- $35,209▼ −2.1%80%: $29,784 – $42,462
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $2,540 | $2,084 | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | $4,258 | $3,601 | 50% |
| 36 months | 3 | $5,411 | $4,690 | 33% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $35,951 | +6.37% |
| 2024 | $33,797 | −4.03% |
| 2023 | $35,215 | −0.94% |
| 2022 | $35,548 | −14.51% |
| 2021 | $41,581 | +1.17% |
| 2020 | $41,099 | −0.79% |
| 2019 | $41,425 | +1.92% |
| 2018 | $40,645 | +2.43% |
| 2017 | $39,680 | −1.33% |
| 2016 | $40,215 | +12.76% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.PCAP.CD
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Japan
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All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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