GDP per capita · Norway
Norway GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$95,499
Median forecast · p10-p90: $78,083 to $120,455
24 months forecast · 2027
$96,206
Median forecast · p10-p90: $74,037 to $127,391
36 months forecast · 2028
$96,364
Median forecast · p10-p90: $71,008 to $132,904
Latest observed: $94,594 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $12,532 | $14,001 | 80.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $20,475 | $18,591 | 75.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $19,192 | $15,003 | 100.0% |
In these tests the model beat a no-change forecast at 1 of 3 horizons; no change was better or equal at the rest. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $94,594 | +5.23% |
| 2024 | $89,889 | −1.20% |
| 2023 | $90,984 | −19.57% |
| 2022 | $113,122 | +17.29% |
| 2021 | $96,443 | +35.72% |
| 2020 | $71,058 | −10.43% |
| 2019 | $79,329 | −7.30% |
| 2018 | $85,579 | +8.64% |
| 2017 | $78,771 | +7.58% |
| 2016 | $73,222 | −5.18% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.