Currencies forecast · FRED data
USD/NOK forecast
US dollar to Norwegian krone exchange rate: NOK per 1 USD
Last close · Sep 25, 2026
9.4973
USD/NOK is forecast at 9.4659 in 12 months (Sep 2027), with an 80% range of 8.5874 to 10.7492. The last close was 9.4973 on Sep 25, 2026, so the median implies a change of −0.3%.
Along the way, the median is 9.5273 in 3 months and 9.4816 in 6 months.
A higher value means a stronger US dollar: more Norwegian kroner per USD.
- 3 monthsDec 2026
- 9.5273▲ +0.3%80%: 9.0673 – 10.1622
- 6 monthsMar 2027
- 9.4816▼ −0.2%80%: 8.8690 – 10.3912
- 12 monthsSep 2027
- 9.4659▼ −0.3%80%: 8.5874 – 10.7492
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 0.4034 | 0.3865 | 89% |
| 6 months | 54 | 0.5267 | 0.4833 | 89% |
| 12 months | 48 | 0.7366 | 0.7346 | 96% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 9.4973 | −0.17% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 9.5135 | +0.24% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 9.4903 | +0.37% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 9.4552 | +0.16% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 9.4403 | +0.15% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 9.4262 | +0.03% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 9.4235 | +0.77% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 9.3517 | +0.09% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 9.3432 | +0.28% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 9.3167 | +0.37% |
About this forecast
- Source
- FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · series DEXNOUS
- Data through
- Sep 25, 2026 · 6,703 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
Other currency forecasts
All 19Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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