GDP per capita · Netherlands
Netherlands GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$76,722
Median forecast · p10-p90: $66,561 to $88,416
24 months forecast · 2027
$77,650
Median forecast · p10-p90: $63,623 to $92,767
36 months forecast · 2028
$77,259
Median forecast · p10-p90: $60,517 to $95,326
Latest observed: $73,684 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $3,460 | $4,451 | 100.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $4,842 | $6,885 | 100.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $8,247 | $10,644 | 100.0% |
In these tests the model had lower average error than a no-change forecast at all 3 horizons. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $73,684 | +9.22% |
| 2024 | $67,465 | +6.22% |
| 2023 | $63,516 | +7.43% |
| 2022 | $59,123 | −1.69% |
| 2021 | $60,142 | +12.48% |
| 2020 | $53,468 | −0.16% |
| 2019 | $53,555 | −0.74% |
| 2018 | $53,955 | +8.97% |
| 2017 | $49,514 | +5.78% |
| 2016 | $46,809 | +2.22% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.
