Inflation forecast · World Bank data
Netherlands inflation forecast
Inflation (CPI, annual %)
Latest · 2025
3.3%
Inflation in the Netherlands is forecast at 3.2% in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 1.7% to 5.2%. The latest World Bank figure is 3.3% for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 3.1% and 3.0% (−0.2 pp versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 3.2%■ 0.0 pp80%: 2.5% – 4.2%
- 12 months2026
- 3.2%▼ −0.1 pp80%: 1.7% – 5.2%
- 24 months2027
- 3.1%▼ −0.2 pp80%: 1.5% – 5.3%
- 36 months2028
- 3.0%▼ −0.2 pp80%: 1.3% – 5.5%
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 2.58 pp | 3.09 pp | 60% |
| 24 months | 4 | 3.46 pp | 4.28 pp | 50% |
| 36 months | 3 | 2.28 pp | 3.33 pp | 33% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened (percentage points); naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.3% | −0.09 pp |
| 2024 | 3.3% | −0.49 pp |
| 2023 | 3.8% | −6.16 pp |
| 2022 | 10.0% | +7.33 pp |
| 2021 | 2.7% | +1.40 pp |
| 2020 | 1.3% | −1.36 pp |
| 2019 | 2.6% | +0.93 pp |
| 2018 | 1.7% | +0.32 pp |
| 2017 | 1.4% | +1.06 pp |
| 2016 | 0.3% | −0.28 pp |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Netherlands
Netherlands overviewOther inflation forecasts
All 39Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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