GDP per capita · India
India GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$2,756
Median forecast · p10-p90: $2,526 to $3,019
24 months forecast · 2027
$2,809
Median forecast · p10-p90: $2,481 to $3,145
36 months forecast · 2028
$2,828
Median forecast · p10-p90: $2,427 to $3,238
Latest observed: $2,702 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $157 | $159 | 80.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $259 | $287 | 50.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $446 | $434 | 0.0% |
In these tests the model beat a no-change forecast at 2 of 3 horizons; no change was better or equal at the rest. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,702 | +4.26% |
| 2024 | $2,592 | +6.47% |
| 2023 | $2,434 | +6.77% |
| 2022 | $2,280 | +1.80% |
| 2021 | $2,240 | +17.44% |
| 2020 | $1,907 | −6.58% |
| 2019 | $2,041 | +3.82% |
| 2018 | $1,966 | +0.83% |
| 2017 | $1,950 | +14.21% |
| 2016 | $1,708 | +7.80% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.